June Fed rate change
Measure
HIP-4 / Hyperliquid- Yes
- No
Probability rebuilt from the order-book archive: the midpoint of the book at each change, replayed from every order placed, resized and pulled. It begins where the market opened, not where our capture did. Hyperliquid publishes no odds history of its own.
Volume
$1.98M incl. settlement
Open interest
Traders0% of these trades happened after the market settled: the winner converging to $1, the losers draining. Real trades, but after the question was answered.
3,447 trades
Best winning entry
2.0x
Biggest fill
Fees
Validators
Settlement & sources
Who settled it
15 validators
- 1ValiDAO——
- 2B-Harvest——
- 3Hyperbeat x P2P x Hypio——
- 4CMI——
- 5HypurrCorea - Spacebar x DeSpread——
- 6Hyperdash——
- 7HyperStake——
- 8Enigma - Hypedexer.com X Meria——
- 9infinitefield.xyz——
- 10Hypurrscanning——
- 11Liquid Spirit x Hydromancer x Rekt Gang——
- 12Nansen x HypurrCollective——
- 13ASXN——
- 14Kinetiq x Hyperion——
- 15Purrposeful x HyBridge x PiP——
Delay is measured from the settlement action opening, at our 60-second indexing cadence; anything faster reads under a minute. Hyperliquid serves votes only while an action is in flight, so this is our stored copy.
Why it settled this way
The FOMC maintained the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent.
Resolution rules
The market resolves to Change if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate range in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement for the meeting currently scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 differs from the upper bound of the target range set by the most recent prior FOMC statement. Otherwise, the market resolves to No Change. The market also resolves to No Change if the June 16-17, 2026 meeting is canceled, or if no FOMC statement containing a rate decision for that meeting is released by 23:59 ET on July 29, 2026. The target range stated in the FOMC statement for the June 16-17, 2026 meeting determines the result. If that statement is unavailable or does not clearly state the target range, the post-meeting target range upper bound shown on the Federal Reserve's open market operations page determines the result. Resolution uses the initially released decision; later revisions after resolution are not considered. Scheduled meeting dates and source references are provided for convenience and are not binding terms of resolution.
This market, as JSON
The same record, machine-readable: metadata, settlement and the odds history we captured while the market was live.
$ curl https://api.liquary.xyz/v1/markets/104.json