June Fed rate change
Settled June 18, 2026 · lived 23d 13h 6m · Deployed by Hyperliquid
Outcome
Volume
$1.98M incl. settlement
Open interest
Traders0% of these trades happened after the market settled — the winner converging to $1, the losers draining. Real trades, but after the question was answered.
3,447 trades
Best winning entry
2.0x
Biggest fill
Fees
Validators
- Yes
- No
Probability rebuilt from the order-book archive: the midpoint of the book at each change, replayed from every order placed, resized and pulled. It begins where the market opened, not where our capture did. Hyperliquid publishes no odds history of its own.
Who settled it
0 validators
No validator votes recorded
Hyperliquid serves votes only while a settlement action is in flight. Nothing of this one's roster reached us, and no source anywhere can reconstruct it.
Why it settled this way
The FOMC maintained the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent.
Resolution rules
The market resolves to Change if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate range in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement for the meeting currently scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 differs from the upper bound of the target range set by the most recent prior FOMC statement. Otherwise, the market resolves to No Change. The market also resolves to No Change if the June 16-17, 2026 meeting is canceled, or if no FOMC statement containing a rate decision for that meeting is released by 23:59 ET on July 29, 2026. The target range stated in the FOMC statement for the June 16-17, 2026 meeting determines the result. If that statement is unavailable or does not clearly state the target range, the post-meeting target range upper bound shown on the Federal Reserve's open market operations page determines the result. Resolution uses the initially released decision; later revisions after resolution are not considered. Scheduled meeting dates and source references are provided for convenience and are not binding terms of resolution.
This market, as JSON
The same record, machine-readable: metadata, settlement and the odds history we captured while the market was live.
$ curl https://api.hypersight.xyz/v1/markets/104.json