HIP-4

Research

Questions answered over the whole settled HIP-4 archive, the one dataset nobody else holds. Each study is folded by our indexer and republished every hour.

No. 01
Does the market know what it is talking about?
On crypto price markets, backing the favourite is worth +3.3 pts per $1 contract, over 2,768,768 trades from 16,757 settled markets.
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No. 02
For a third-party market, a settlement is a signature. How long does it take?
Outfox signs a settlement 6s after expiry (median); Trade[XYZ] takes 33m.
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No. 03
Four thousand markets. Where does the money actually go?
Ten markets carry 13% of all settled volume; 6,516 settled markets never traded a dollar.
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No. 04
When the crowd was sure, and wrong
NFL: Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals traded at 13¢ on the side that won, across $321.6k: the archive's biggest upset.
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