HIP-4

Research

Questions answered over the whole settled HIP-4 archive — the one dataset nobody else holds. Each study is folded by our indexer and republished every hour.

No. 01
Does the market know what it is talking about?
Favourites are underpriced: every buy at 50¢ or more returned +2.3% per trade, over 4,945,157 trades from 3,533 settled markets.
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No. 03
Four thousand markets. Where does the money actually go?
Ten markets carry 19% of all settled volume; 753 settled markets never traded a dollar.
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No. 02
For a third-party market, a settlement is a signature. How long does it take?
Outcome signs a settlement 9s after expiry (median); Trade[XYZ] takes 26m.
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