BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1?
Measure
HIP-4 / Hyperliquid- Yes
- No
Probability as we snapshotted it while the market was live. The curve begins where our capture begins, not where the market opened. Hyperliquid publishes no odds history of its own.
Volume
$1.49M incl. settlement
Open interest
Traders0% of these trades happened after the market settled: the winner converging to $1, the losers draining. Real trades, but after the question was answered.
13,023 trades
Best winning entry
1.2x
Biggest fill
Fees
Target price
Settlement & sources
Settled by its deployer: permissionless markets are resolved by the wallet that deployed them. 0x0c46…819e Signed 5m after the deadline. See the transaction
Resolution rules
The market resolves to Yes if the BTC price touches 100,000 at or before Oct 1 00:00, and otherwise resolves to No. The price counts as touched once the 1-second TWAP of BTC-USDC mark price equals or crosses 100,000 at any time after this market is deployed and at or before Oct 1 00:00; the market can settle as soon as a touch occurs. If BTC is delisted before this market settles, the BTC settlement price at delisting counts as the final price for the touch determination, and the market can settle at delisting if the price has not touched 100,000 by then.
This market, as JSON
The same record, machine-readable: metadata, settlement and the odds history we captured while the market was live.
$ curl https://api.liquary.xyz/v1/markets/1211.json