World Cup Semifinal: England vs Argentina

Listed July 12, 2026 · Settled July 15, 2026 · lived 3d 2h 19m · Deployed by Hyperliquid

Outcome

Argentina

Volume

$2.74M

$4.26M incl. settlement

Open interest

$1.55M

Traders48% of these trades happened after the market settled — the winner converging to $1, the losers draining. Real trades, but after the question was answered.

1,218

10,656 trades

Best winning entry

$0.17

6.0x

Biggest fill

$52.7k

Fees

$102

Validators

14
England

12

Argentina

4,225snapshots captured
12 Jul15 Jul16 Jul
  • England
  • Argentina

Probability rebuilt from the order-book archive: the midpoint of the book at each change, replayed from every order placed, resized and pulled. It begins where the market opened, not where our capture did. Hyperliquid publishes no odds history of its own.

Who settled it

14 validators

  • 1Purrposeful x HyBridge x PiP1.6%+1m
  • 2HyperStake2.3%+3m
  • 3Nansen x HypurrCollective5.0%+3m
  • 4Hyperdash2.1%+5m
  • 5ASXN2.0%+7m
  • 6B-Harvest1.2%+15m
  • 7CMI2.1%+21m
  • 8infinitefield.xyz4.2%+21m
  • 9Kinetiq x Hyperion1.6%+29m
  • 10Hypurrscanning5.3%+51m
  • 11HypurrCorea - Spacebar x DeSpread1.9%+2h
  • 12ValiDAO1.5%+3h
  • 13Hyperbeat x P2P x Hypio1.0%+17h
  • 14Enigma - Hypedexer.com X Meria0.7%+18h

Delay is measured from the settlement action opening, at our 60-second indexing cadence; anything faster reads under a minute. Hyperliquid serves votes only while an action is in flight, so this is our stored copy.

Why it settled this way

FIFA officially declared Argentina the winner of the Game.

Resolution rules

The market resolves to England if FIFA officially declares England as the winner of the FIFA World Cup Semifinal game between England and Argentina scheduled for July 15, 2026 (the "Game"). The market resolves to Argentina if FIFA officially declares Argentina the winner of the Game. Game results after regular time, extra time, and penalties, if applicable, are all valid for resolution purposes. If the Game is postponed, delayed, or suspended and later completed, the completed Game as ultimately played will be used, provided FIFA officially declares a winner by July 26, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. If FIFA officially declares either listed team as the winner of the Game without a completed Game, including but not limited to following abandonment, walkover, forfeit, disqualification, or administrative decision, the market resolves for that team accordingly. The market resolves to 0.5 if: (a) the Game is canceled entirely with no make-up Game, (b) FIFA declares no winner, (c) FIFA declares a team other than England or Argentina as the winner, or (d) FIFA has not officially declared a winner by July 26, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. FIFA is the primary resolution source, although independent reputable news sources may be used as fallback sources if FIFA has not published the relevant result. Once resolved, subsequent appeals, corrections, reversals, or result reassignments by FIFA or any other body will not affect the market resolution. This market has not been endorsed by FIFA. References to "FIFA," the "FIFA World Cup," and any other associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this market or any affiliation with FIFA.

This market, as JSON

The same record, machine-readable: metadata, settlement and the odds history we captured while the market was live.

$ curl https://api.hypersight.xyz/v1/markets/822.json