LiquaryData
HL

2026 World Cup Champion

Outcome

Spain

Settled , lived 43d 18h 25m. Deployed by Hyperliquid

Measure

HIP-4 / Hyperliquid

Odds

3,000snapshots captured
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
06 Jun28 Jun20 Jul
  • Spain
  • Argentina
  • France
  • Portugal
  • England

Probability rebuilt from the order-book archive: the midpoint of the book at each change, replayed from every order placed, resized and pulled. It begins where the market opened, not where our capture did. Hyperliquid publishes no odds history of its own. 5 of 48 plotted. Outcomes with no capturable curve are omitted; every one is listed below with its figures.

Volume

$49.30M

$56.70M incl. settlement

Outcomes

48

Traders

3,889

835,439 trades

Best winning entry

$0.091

10.9x

Biggest fill

$400.6k

Fees

$6.0k

Open interest

$73.38M

Settlement & sources

Who settled it

13 validators

  • 1Liquid Spirit x Hydromancer x Rekt Gang1.0%<60s
  • 2HypurrCorea - Spacebar x DeSpread1.9%+1m
  • 3Purrposeful x HyBridge x PiP1.6%+1m
  • 4B-Harvest1.2%+4m
  • 5ValiDAO1.5%+11m
  • 6ASXN2.0%+11m
  • 7CMI2.1%+13m
  • 8Kinetiq x Hyperion1.6%+16m
  • 9HyperStake2.3%+58m
  • 10Nansen x HypurrCollective5.0%+58m
  • 11Hyperbeat x P2P x Hypio1.0%+2h
  • 12infinitefield.xyz4.2%+3h
  • 13Hypurrscanning5.3%+10h

This market was settled in several actions as outcomes fell away; the votes below are the one that resolved it, on "Spain". Delay is measured from the settlement action opening, at our 60-second indexing cadence; anything faster reads under a minute. Hyperliquid serves votes only while an action is in flight, so this is our stored copy.

Resolution rules

Each associated outcome corresponds to a team confirmed to be participating in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. An outcome resolves to Yes if FIFA officially declares the corresponding team the champion of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. An outcome resolves to No once it becomes impossible under FIFA tournament rules for the corresponding team to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including but not limited to upon elimination from the tournament. Match results after regular time, extra time, and penalties, if applicable, are all valid for resolution purposes. If the final is postponed or delayed, the rescheduled final will be used, provided FIFA officially declares a champion by October 14, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. If FIFA officially declares a team as champion without a completed final match, including but not limited to following abandonment, walkover, forfeit, disqualification, or administrative decision, that team's outcome resolves to Yes accordingly. Any outcome not already resolved shall resolve to No if: (a) FIFA cancels the 2026 FIFA World Cup, (b) FIFA declares no champion, (c) FIFA declares any teams as co-champions, or (d) FIFA has not officially declared a champion by October 14, 2026 at 23:59 UTC. FIFA is the primary resolution source, although independent reputable news sources may be used as fallback sources if FIFA has not published the relevant result. Once resolved, subsequent appeals, corrections, reversals, or title reassignments by FIFA or any other body will not affect the market resolution. This market has not been endorsed by FIFA. References to "FIFA," the "FIFA World Cup," and any other associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this market or any affiliation with FIFA.

All outcomes

48 outcomes