LiquaryData
HL

June CPI year-over-year

Outcome

Below 3.8%

Listed . Settled , lived 23d 22h 2m. Deployed by Hyperliquid

Measure

HIP-4 / Hyperliquid

Odds

1,800snapshots captured
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
20 Jun02 Jul14 Jul
  • Below 3.8%
  • Above 3.8%
  • Exactly 3.8%

Probability rebuilt from the order-book archive: the midpoint of the book at each change, replayed from every order placed, resized and pulled. It begins where the market opened, not where our capture did. Hyperliquid publishes no odds history of its own.

Volume

$562.1k

$1.12M incl. settlement

Outcomes

3

Traders

65

497 trades

Best winning entry

$0.10

10.0x

Biggest fill

$156.0k

Fees

$0.05

Open interest

$555.1k

Settlement & sources

Who settled it

14 validators

  • 1ValiDAO——
  • 2B-Harvest——
  • 3Hyperbeat x P2P x Hypio——
  • 4CMI——
  • 5HypurrCorea - Spacebar x DeSpread——
  • 6Hyperdash——
  • 7HyperStake——
  • 8Enigma - Hypedexer.com X Meria——
  • 9Hypurrscanning——
  • 10Liquid Spirit x Hydromancer x Rekt Gang——
  • 11Nansen x HypurrCollective——
  • 12GalaxyDigital——
  • 13ASXN——
  • 14Purrposeful x HyBridge x PiP——

This market was settled in several actions as outcomes fell away; the votes below are the one that resolved it, on "Below 3.8%". Delay is measured from the settlement action opening, at our 60-second indexing cadence; anything faster reads under a minute. Hyperliquid serves votes only while an action is in flight, so this is our stored copy.

Resolution rules

The question has three outcomes: Below 3.8%, Exactly 3.8%, or Above 3.8%. Exactly one outcome resolves to Yes and the other two resolve to No. The question resolves based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index news release for June 2026, currently scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. The relevant value is the non-seasonally adjusted all items Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) percent change over the 12 months ending June 2026, as reported to one decimal place in the official monthly CPI news release. Below 3.8% resolves to Yes if that value is below 3.8%. Exactly 3.8% resolves to Yes if that value is exactly 3.8%. Above 3.8% resolves to Yes if that value is above 3.8%. If BLS has not published the June 2026 all items CPI-U figure by August 12, 2026, or if BLS announces it will not publish the June 2026 all items CPI-U figure, the question instead resolves using the most recently published month's non-seasonally adjusted all items CPI-U 12-month percent change available at that time. If the June 2026 release occurs on a date other than the scheduled date, the rescheduled release is still used, provided the figure is published by August 12, 2026. Resolution uses the initial published value, not subsequent revisions.

All outcomes

3 outcomes