Federal Reserve rate decision (September 2026 FOMC)

· Increase

See the full market

Outcome

Increase

Settled September 16, 2026, lived 4d 19h 33m. Deployed by Trade[XYZ]

JSON data

Measure

HIP-4 / Hyperliquid

Odds

1,715snapshots captured

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11 Sept14 Sept16 Sept

Probability as we snapshotted it while the market was live. The curve begins where our capture begins, not where the market opened. Hyperliquid publishes no odds history of its own.

Volume, this outcome

$4.0k

$6.0k incl. settlement

Open interestProvisional. Sampled while the market was live, because the recomputation from every fill has not run for this market yet. It can read a few percent low and will be replaced.

$3.2k

Traders0% of these trades happened after the market settled: the winner converging to $1, the losers draining. Real trades, but after the question was answered.

98 trades

Best winning entry

$0.77

1.3x

Biggest fill

$411

Fees

Target price

—

Settlement & sources

Settled by its deployer: permissionless markets are resolved by the wallet that deployed them. 0x7aca…f553 Signed 41d 5h before the deadline. See the transaction

Resolution rules

Federal Reserve decision on the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate. Scheduled: Sep 16, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Official source: federalreserve.gov.

Other outcomes on this market

5 outcomes

This market, as JSON

The same record, machine-readable: metadata, settlement and the odds history we captured while the market was live.

$ curl https://api.liquary.xyz/v1/markets/2589.json